Geelong v Collingwood
M.C.G.
7.9
51
9.7
61
QUALIFYING FINAL
Match complete
Collingwood won by 10 points
IN
Atkins
Kolodjashnij
Menegola
Stanley
Henderson
Guthrie
OUT
IN
Stephenson
De Goey
Sidebottom
Varcoe
Scharenberg
Madgen
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.21 |
 |
|
70% | 25 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.70 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.46 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.41 |
 |
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.1 | -0.35 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.28 |
 |
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.25 |
| Punters | |
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.18 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.05 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.02 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.07 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.