Port Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
14.14
98
10.11
71
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 27 points
IN
Howard
Houston
Ah Chee
Neade
Wingard
Trengove
Young
Hombsch
Powell-Pepper
Monfries
OUT
IN
Brown
Cox
Aish
Grundy
Wells
Greenwood
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 68% | 17 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.44 | |
75% | ✓ | 0.59 | ||||
72% | 29 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.53 | ||
Punters | 71% | ✓ | 0.51 | |||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.46 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.41 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.29 | ||
58% | 12 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.