Essendon v Adelaide
Docklands
12.8
80
18.15
123
Match complete
Adelaide won by 43 points
IN
Laverde
McGrath
Leuenberger
Dea
Kelly
Merrett
Fantasia
Hartley
Baguley
Bellchambers
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 17 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.41 | |
Punters | 76% | ✓ | 0.60 | |||
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.49 | ||
68% | ✓ | 0.44 | ||||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 19 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.35 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.