Geelong v Richmond
GMHBA Stadium
11.14
80
9.12
66
Match complete
Geelong won by 14 points
IN
Stanley
Motlop
Menzel
Dangerfield
Selwood
Hawkins
Duncan
Buzza
OUT
IN
Riewoldt
Miles
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 13 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.20 |
 |
|
70% | 26 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.49 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.44 |
 |
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
59% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.09 |
 |
|
51% | ✗ | -0.04 | ||
| Punters | |
58% | ✗ | -0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.