Geelong v Port Adelaide
GMHBA Stadium
11.15
81
11.13
79
Match complete
Geelong won by 2 points
IN
Cunico
Lang
Guthrie
Lonergan
Cockatoo
O'Connor
OUT
IN
Young
Wingard
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.16 | |
71% | ✓ | 0.51 | ||||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.36 | ||
58% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.21 | ||
Punters | 55% | ✓ | 0.15 | |||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.05 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.