Collingwood v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
18.21
129
13.6
84
Match complete
Collingwood won by 45 points
IN
Scharenberg
Broomhead
Aish
Schade
OUT
IN
Smith
Mathieson
Cutler
McStay
Bastinac
Bell
Walker
Harwood
Beams
Close
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 89% | 55 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.83 | |
95% | 65 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.93 | ||
94% | 58 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.91 | ||
91% | 56 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.86 | ||
89% | 45 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.83 | ||
89% | 61 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.83 | ||
Punters | 89% | ✓ | 0.83 | |||
89% | ✓ | 0.83 | ||||
77% | 47 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.62 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.