Melbourne v Gold Coast
Traeger Park
18.14
122
13.9
87
Match complete
Melbourne won by 35 points
IN
Melksham
Neal-Bullen
Harmes
Kent
Salem
Weideman
OUT
IN
Brodie
Swallow
Hanley
Ablett
Brooksby
Bowes
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 18 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.40 | |
76% | 30 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.60 | ||
Punters | 70% | ✓ | 0.48 | |||
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.48 | ||
66% | ✓ | 0.40 | ||||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.40 | ||
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.31 | ||
60% | 17 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 26.4 | 0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.