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Does the round 7 rule exist?

Posted on May 5, 2017May 5, 2017 by Max Barry

One from the archives of PlusSixOne:

In an article over the weekend, Rohan Connolly from The Age asked if the finals teams were already set by the end of round 7. He suggested that Round 7 appeared to be some kind of milestone.

Source: The round 7 rule? – PlusSixOne

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Wins % Range
1
 Sydney 17.2 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Hawthorn 16.9 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Fremantle 15.9 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.9 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Geelong 14.2 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Collingwood 12.8 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
7
 Gold Coast 12.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–11
8
 Adelaide 12.6 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
10
 Melbourne 12.1 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 St Kilda 11.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
12
 GWS 10.9 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
13
 Port Adelaide 10.0 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 North Melbourne 9.7 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
15
 Carlton 7.1 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–16
16
 Essendon 5.6 74%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 West Coast 5.7 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
18
 Richmond 4.4 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 8, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 7 1 – 165.5%
+10.2
1
2
 Fremantle 7 1 – 133.0%
+8.9
3
3
 Hawthorn 6 1 1 121.2%
+10.4
2
4
 Brisbane Lions 5 3 – 126.0%
+9.9
4
5
 Gold Coast 5 3 – 116.0%
+7.7
7
6
 Geelong 5 3 – 114.6%
+9.2
5
7
 Melbourne 5 3 – 100.2%
+7.1
10
8
 Collingwood 4 3 1 108.6%
+8.3
6
9
 St Kilda 4 4 – 114.9%
+7.7
11
10
 North Melbourne 4 4 – 106.1%
+5.7
14
11
 Adelaide 4 4 – 96.6%
+8.6
8
12
 Western Bulldogs 4 4 – 91.5%
+8.3
9
13
 Port Adelaide 3 5 – 110.9%
+7.0
13
14
 GWS 3 5 – 88.2%
+7.9
12
15
 West Coast 2 6 – 59.3%
+3.7
17
16
 Carlton 1 7 – 78.1%
+6.1
15
17
 Essendon 1 7 – 70.2%
+4.6
16
18
 Richmond 1 7 – 60.0%
+3.4
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8

60 19.6836 19.68 25.0082 25.01 83.3333 83.3%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8

59 19.9857 19.99 26.2119 26.21 81.9444 81.9%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7

58 13.3867 13.39 25.9764 25.98 80.5556 80.6%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8

57 18.4074 18.41 26.6343 26.63 79.1667 79.2%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8

56 20.7978 20.80 26.4372 26.44 77.7778 77.8%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8

56 20.0948 20.09 26.3301 26.33 77.7778 77.8%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8

56 20.0820 20.08 25.8004 25.80 77.7778 77.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7

55 20.4254 20.43 27.1211 27.12 76.3889 76.4%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7

55 19.4135 19.41 26.5858 26.59 76.3889 76.4%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7

55 19.2017 19.20 27.5694 27.57 76.3889 76.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7

55 18.3179 18.32 26.5149 26.51 76.3889 76.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8

55 18.0282 18.03 26.9603 26.96 76.3889 76.4%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7

55 17.1390 17.14 26.5039 26.50 76.3889 76.4%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8

55 13.4508 13.45 27.7083 27.71 76.3889 76.4%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7

54 18.6505 18.65 26.5751 26.58 75.0000 75.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8

53 18.3705 18.37 27.9015 27.90 73.6111 73.6%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7

53 17.6414 17.64 27.8472 27.85 73.6111 73.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6

53 16.6928 16.69 27.8199 27.82 73.6111 73.6%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7

53 15.5426 15.54 27.2194 27.22 73.6111 73.6%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7

52 17.6456 17.65 27.5053 27.51 72.2222 72.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6

52 16.9286 16.93 27.5417 27.54 72.2222 72.2%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8

52 16.7996 16.80 27.9583 27.96 72.2222 72.2%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7

51 17.7091 17.71 26.9310 26.93 70.8333 70.8%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7

50 17.2117 17.21 27.1962 27.20 69.4444 69.4%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7

50 16.0047 16.00 29.6250 29.62 69.4444 69.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6

50 15.0040 15.00 27.5636 27.56 69.4444 69.4%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7

50 14.2760 14.28 27.5736 27.57 69.4444 69.4%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7

50 13.9769 13.98 27.9014 27.90 69.4444 69.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7

46 13.4927 13.49 27.6667 27.67 63.8889 63.9%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7

44 11.1576 11.16 28.7619 28.76 †9 69.8413 69.8%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7

34 13.1362 13.14 29.4787 29.48 †25 72.3404 72.3%

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