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Does the round 7 rule exist?

Posted on May 5, 2017May 5, 2017 by Max Barry

One from the archives of PlusSixOne:

In an article over the weekend, Rohan Connolly from The Age asked if the finals teams were already set by the end of round 7. He suggested that Round 7 appeared to be some kind of milestone.

Source: The round 7 rule? – PlusSixOne

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 18.9 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.3 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.1 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.6 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Geelong 13.9 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Adelaide 14.1 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Melbourne 13.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Western Bulldogs 12.8 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Collingwood 12.3 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 St Kilda 11.4 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Carlton 11.5 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 GWS 10.8 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Gold Coast 10.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 North Melbourne 10.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Port Adelaide 9.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 5.9 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.5 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 2.4 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 3 games of Round 18, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 15 2 – 142.3%
+3.9
1
2
 Sydney 13 4 – 131.2%
+4.3
2
3
 Hawthorn 10∗ 5 1 110.0%
+4.6
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 10∗ 6 – 111.7%
+4.6
4
5
 Adelaide 10∗ 6 – 111.4%
+4.1
6
6
 Melbourne 10∗ 6 – 106.3%
+3.7
7
7
 Collingwood 9 7 1 104.5%
+2.8
9
8
 Geelong 9∗ 7 – 117.1%
+4.9
5
9
 Western Bulldogs 9∗ 7 – 90.8%
+3.8
8
10
 St Kilda 8 9 – 106.1%
+3.4
10
11
 Carlton 8∗ 8 – 96.0%
+3.5
11
12
 North Melbourne 8 9 – 91.4%
+2.0
14
13
 GWS 7∗ 9 – 100.8%
+3.8
12
14
 Gold Coast 7∗ 9 – 100.7%
+3.0
13
15
 Port Adelaide 6 11 – 101.3%
+3.0
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 12 – 71.5%
+1.9
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 14 – 63.3%
+1.5
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 15 – 69.0%
+1.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 3

112 34.7879 34.79 24.9497 24.95 76.1905 76.2%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 3

110 33.4807 33.48 24.6415 24.64 74.8299 74.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 3

110 23.8420 23.84 25.0107 25.01 74.8299 74.8%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 3

109 34.7044 34.70 25.8095 25.81 74.1497 74.1%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 3

108 35.0008 35.00 25.2418 25.24 73.4694 73.5%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 3

107 35.6758 35.68 25.0576 25.06 72.7891 72.8%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 3

107 33.6996 33.70 25.3783 25.38 72.7891 72.8%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 3

107 33.3070 33.31 25.1660 25.17 72.7891 72.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 3

107 30.0096 30.01 25.9291 25.93 72.7891 72.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 3

106 36.0401 36.04 25.5884 25.59 72.1088 72.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 3

106 31.1313 31.13 25.4443 25.44 72.1088 72.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 3

105 33.7394 33.74 26.5986 26.60 71.4286 71.4%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 3

105 32.9115 32.91 25.9830 25.98 71.4286 71.4%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 3

104 33.7436 33.74 25.0554 25.06 70.7483 70.7%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 3

104 33.7313 33.73 26.0988 26.10 70.7483 70.7%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 3

104 32.1100 32.11 26.2585 26.26 70.7483 70.7%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 2

104 29.3004 29.30 25.4231 25.42 70.7483 70.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 3

104 28.2997 28.30 27.1365 27.14 †1 71.2329 71.2%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 3

104 24.7883 24.79 26.2055 26.21 †1 71.2329 71.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 3

103 33.4149 33.41 25.1784 25.18 70.0680 70.1%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 3

103 31.7926 31.79 25.5186 25.52 70.0680 70.1%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 3

102 26.2585 26.26 25.7007 25.70 69.3878 69.4%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 3

101 29.4484 29.45 25.5878 25.59 68.7075 68.7%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 3

100 31.9432 31.94 25.4694 25.47 68.0272 68.0%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 2

100 31.2303 31.23 26.8827 26.88 68.0272 68.0%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 3

100 26.7417 26.74 26.5112 26.51 68.0272 68.0%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3

99 30.1939 30.19 27.0748 27.07 67.3469 67.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 3

99 28.5468 28.55 25.9552 25.96 67.3469 67.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 3

98 26.2593 26.26 27.0544 27.05 66.6667 66.7%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3

96 26.7098 26.71 26.2971 26.30 †9 69.5652 69.6%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 3

86 29.1053 29.11 26.5984 26.60 †25 70.4918 70.5%

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