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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.0 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 18.0 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16.0 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
4
Hawthorn 16.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
5
Geelong 15.0 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Adelaide 15.0 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
7
Melbourne 15.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–7
8
Western Bulldogs 13.5 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
Collingwood 13.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
Carlton 12.5 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
St Kilda 10.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
GWS 10.0 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
Gold Coast 9.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
North Melbourne 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Port Adelaide 7.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 4.0 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.0 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.0 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 1 game of Round 26, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 19 4 – 137.2%
+0.0
1
2
Sydney 18 5 – 136.1%
+-0.0
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16 7 – 121.7%
+-0.0
3
4
Hawthorn 15 6 2 120.1%
+0.0
4
5
Geelong 15 8 – 122.3%
+-0.0
5
6
Adelaide 15 8 – 117.3%
+-0.0
6
7
Melbourne 15 8 – 109.6%
+0.0
7
8
Western Bulldogs 13 9 1 95.4%
+-0.0
8
9
Collingwood 12 9 2 102.4%
+0.0
9
10
Carlton 12 10 1 101.5%
+-0.0
10
11
St Kilda 10 13 – 102.8%
+0.0
11
12
GWS 10 13 – 98.9%
+0.0
12
13
Gold Coast 9 14 – 94.5%
+-0.0
13
14
North Melbourne 9 14 – 88.8%
+0.0
14
15
Port Adelaide 7 16 – 88.0%
+-0.0
15
16
West Coast 4 19 – 69.2%
+0.0
16
17
Richmond 3 20 – 62.5%
+0.0
17
18
Essendon 2 21 – 64.6%
+0.0
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 6 9 5 0 1

158 50.5679 50.57 25.2779 25.28 74.8815 74.9%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 6 9 6 0 0

157 34.5321 34.53 25.5564 25.56 74.4076 74.4%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 5 9 6 0 1

156 53.3502 53.35 25.0683 25.07 73.9336 73.9%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 6 1 1

156 52.4810 52.48 25.2023 25.20 73.9336 73.9%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4 9 6 0 1

155 51.1924 51.19 25.9858 25.99 73.4597 73.5%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4 9 6 0 1

155 50.7335 50.73 24.7866 24.79 73.4597 73.5%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 7 9 5 0 1

155 48.3330 48.33 25.4770 25.48 73.4597 73.5%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 6 0 1

154 50.6689 50.67 25.1316 25.13 72.9858 73.0%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 5 9 5 0 1

153 52.0760 52.08 24.9530 24.95 72.5118 72.5%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 5 9 6 0 1

153 49.7136 49.71 25.8436 25.84 72.5118 72.5%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 6

153 48.8410 48.84 25.6301 25.63 †4 73.9130 73.9%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6 0 1

152 54.2986 54.30 25.5840 25.58 72.0379 72.0%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 6 0 1

152 51.5603 51.56 26.2938 26.29 72.0379 72.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 6 9 6 1 1

151 39.7584 39.76 26.3667 26.37 †1 71.9048 71.9%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6 0 1

150 52.0880 52.09 25.7243 25.72 71.0900 71.1%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 4 9 6 1 1

150 49.6948 49.69 25.3296 25.33 71.0900 71.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 9 7 0 1

150 48.0197 48.02 25.4156 25.42 71.0900 71.1%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 6 8 6 1 1

150 45.7607 45.76 26.2070 26.21 71.0900 71.1%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 9 6 1 1

150 41.0282 41.03 25.7858 25.79 71.0900 71.1%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 5 9 6 0 1

149 49.8944 49.89 25.3955 25.40 70.6161 70.6%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 9 5 0 1

149 48.8851 48.89 25.6247 25.62 70.6161 70.6%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 9 5 1 0

149 46.1236 46.12 25.0690 25.07 †1 70.9524 71.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 4 9 6 0 1

148 49.7423 49.74 26.0811 26.08 †5 71.8447 71.8%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 4 9 6 1 1

146 48.8005 48.80 26.4857 26.49 69.1943 69.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 9 5 1 1

146 46.2243 46.22 26.5498 26.55 69.1943 69.2%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 6 9 5 1 1

146 46.1471 46.15 26.4550 26.45 69.1943 69.2%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 6 9 6 1 1

146 43.1517 43.15 26.0792 26.08 †9 72.2772 72.3%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 6 9 5 1 0

145 45.5195 45.52 26.0142 26.01 68.7204 68.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 9 6 0 1

144 40.0837 40.08 26.9888 26.99 68.2464 68.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 4 8 6 0 1

142 42.6150 42.62 26.2104 26.21 67.2986 67.3%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 5 9 6 1 1

134 46.1618 46.16 26.3602 26.36 †25 72.0430 72.0%

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