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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

		Wins	%	Range
1	Fremantle	19.5	142%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1
2	Sydney	17.7	139%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	2
3	Hawthorn	15.8	119%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–4
4	Brisbane Lions	15.7	121%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–4
5	Geelong	14.7	124%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	5–7
6	Melbourne	15.2	108%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	5–7
7	Adelaide	14.7	115%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–7
8	Collingwood	13.4	105%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	8
9	Western Bulldogs	12.8	93%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	9
10	Carlton	12.0	100%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	10
11	St Kilda	10.6	104%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	11
12	GWS	10.2	100%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	12
13	North Melbourne	9.3	89%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	13
14	Gold Coast	8.5	92%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	14
15	Port Adelaide	7.1	92%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	15
16	West Coast	4.4	71%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	16
17	Richmond	3.1	62%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	17
18	Essendon	2.5	63%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	18

After 4 games of Round 23, 2026.

							PROJECTIONS
		W	L	D	%	History	Wins	Finish
1	Fremantle	19	3	–	142.5%		+0.5	1
2	Sydney	16∗	5	–	134.0%		+1.7	2
3	Brisbane Lions	15	7	–	119.5%		+0.7	4
4	Hawthorn	14∗	6	1	118.2%		+1.3	3
5	Geelong	14	8	–	120.2%		+0.7	5
6	Adelaide	14	8	–	115.1%		+0.7	7
7	Melbourne	14∗	7	–	107.6%		+1.2	6
8	Collingwood	12∗	8	1	106.4%		+0.9	8
9	Western Bulldogs	12∗	9	–	93.9%		+0.8	9
10	Carlton	11∗	10	–	99.6%		+1.0	10
11	St Kilda	10	12	–	104.2%		+0.6	11
12	GWS	9∗	12	–	98.9%		+1.2	12
13	North Melbourne	9	13	–	90.7%		+0.3	13
14	Gold Coast	8	14	–	93.2%		+0.5	14
15	Port Adelaide	6∗	15	–	90.2%		+1.1	15
16	West Coast	4∗	17	–	71.5%		+0.4	16
17	Richmond	3	19	–	62.8%		+0.1	17
18	Essendon	2∗	19	–	63.2%		+0.5	18

∗ Yet to play

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7 6 6 4	147	48.4402 48.44	24.8792 24.88	76.1658 76.2%
4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7 7 6 4	146	32.9292 32.93	25.2113 25.21	75.6477 75.6%
s10 2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 8 5 4	144	50.1769 50.18	24.8966 24.90	74.6114 74.6%
3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 7 4	144	45.5980 45.60	25.2600 25.26	74.6114 74.6%
Punters 2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 4	143	49.2519 49.25	24.9459 24.95	74.0933 74.1%
2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 4 4	143	48.5805 48.58	25.7772 25.78	74.0933 74.1%
3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 4 4	143	47.6925 47.69	24.4567 24.46	74.0933 74.1%
4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8 6 5 4	142	49.2569 49.26	24.9083 24.91	73.5751 73.6%
Aggregate 2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 4	142	47.5539 47.55	24.9740 24.97	73.5751 73.6%
3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8 7 6 4	142	45.5025 45.50	25.5024 25.50	73.5751 73.6%
2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 5 4	141	46.7074 46.71	25.5803 25.58	73.0570 73.1%
2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 4	140	50.9325 50.93	25.4727 25.47	72.5389 72.5%
2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8 7 5 4	140	48.4981 48.50	26.1192 26.12	72.5389 72.5%
3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 6 5 4	138	48.6203 48.62	25.4723 25.47	71.5026 71.5%
3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8 7 5 4	138	47.2193 47.22	25.3075 25.31	71.5026 71.5%
2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8 4 6 4	138	44.7447 44.74	25.9181 25.92	71.5026 71.5%
2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 4	138	43.4893 43.49	25.1466 25.15	71.5026 71.5%
3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7 6 6 4	138	36.6662 36.67	26.2396 26.24 ^†1	71.8750 71.9%
1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8 6 4 4	137	47.2143 47.21	25.0187 25.02	70.9845 71.0%
2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8 6 5 4	137	46.8085 46.81	25.2080 25.21	70.9845 71.0%
4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 4	137	44.6300 44.63	25.2591 25.26	70.9845 71.0%
2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 4	137	38.7008 38.70	25.6523 25.65	70.9845 71.0%
2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7 7 4 4	136	45.4384 45.44	26.1958 26.20 ^†3	71.5789 71.6%
2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8 5 6 4	134	43.3105 43.31	25.8187 25.82	69.4301 69.4%
3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 6 4	134	43.2383 43.24	26.4870 26.49	69.4301 69.4%
3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8 7 6 4	134	41.8894 41.89	26.8497 26.85	69.4301 69.4%
2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 4 4	133	45.6929 45.69	26.3033 26.30	68.9119 68.9%
3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 6 4	133	39.5565 39.56	26.1359 26.14 ^†9	72.2826 72.3%
3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 4	132	37.3992 37.40	26.8608 26.86	68.3938 68.4%
1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8 6 4 4	131	39.9593 39.96	25.9740 25.97	67.8756 67.9%
2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8 6 5 4	121	42.6823 42.68	26.3512 26.35 ^†25	72.0238 72.0%