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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

		Wins	%	Range
1	Fremantle	19.7	143%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1
2	Sydney	16.4	129%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	2
3	Hawthorn	16.0	122%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3
4	Brisbane Lions	15.1	119%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	4
5	Adelaide	14.8	117%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	5
6	Geelong	13.9	122%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–7
7	Melbourne	14.1	107%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–7
8	Collingwood	13.3	105%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	8–9
9	Western Bulldogs	13.5	95%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	8–9
10	St Kilda	11.1	107%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	10–11
11	GWS	10.8	103%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	11–12
12	Carlton	10.8	92%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	10–12
13	North Melbourne	9.5	88%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	13
14	Gold Coast	8.7	93%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	14–15
15	Port Adelaide	8.3	98%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	14–15
16	West Coast	5.3	71%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	16
17	Essendon	2.9	66%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	17
18	Richmond	3.1	62%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	18

After 4 games of Round 20, 2026.

							PROJECTIONS
		W	L	D	%	History	Wins	Finish
1	Fremantle	17	2	–	146.0%		+2.7	1
2	Sydney	13∗	5	–	128.3%		+3.4	2
3	Hawthorn	12∗	5	1	118.4%		+3.5	3
4	Brisbane Lions	12∗	6	–	117.8%		+3.1	4
5	Adelaide	12	7	–	113.7%		+2.8	5
6	Melbourne	12	7	–	107.8%		+2.1	7
7	Collingwood	11	7	1	107.7%		+1.8	8
8	Geelong	11	8	–	116.5%		+2.9	6
9	Western Bulldogs	11∗	7	–	93.2%		+2.5	9
10	Carlton	9	10	–	92.4%		+1.8	12
11	St Kilda	8∗	10	–	104.0%		+3.1	10
12	GWS	8∗	10	–	101.3%		+2.8	11
13	North Melbourne	8∗	10	–	90.9%		+1.5	13
14	Gold Coast	7	12	–	94.8%		+1.7	14
15	Port Adelaide	6∗	12	–	99.2%		+2.3	15
16	West Coast	4	15	–	70.1%		+1.3	16
17	Essendon	2∗	16	–	67.9%		+0.9	17
18	Richmond	2∗	16	–	61.7%		+1.1	18

∗ Yet to play

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 2	126	39.2690 39.27	24.7552 24.76	75.9036 75.9%
2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 3	125	41.2123 41.21	25.3012 25.30	75.3012 75.3%
3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 3	124	38.0356 38.04	24.4251 24.43	74.6988 74.7%
4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 2	124	27.0513 27.05	24.9310 24.93	74.6988 74.7%
s10 2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 3	122	40.5342 40.53	24.8219 24.82	73.4940 73.5%
4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 3	122	39.3298 39.33	24.9399 24.94	73.4940 73.5%
Punters 2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 3	121	40.1503 40.15	24.9513 24.95	72.8916 72.9%
Aggregate 2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 3	121	38.3835 38.38	24.8145 24.81	72.8916 72.9%
3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 3	121	35.5901 35.59	25.4036 25.40	72.8916 72.9%
2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 3	120	41.6285 41.63	25.1569 25.16	72.2892 72.3%
2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 3	120	38.0784 38.08	25.5181 25.52	72.2892 72.3%
3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 3	120	35.6348 35.63	25.2409 25.24	72.2892 72.3%
2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 3	119	38.8143 38.81	26.0723 26.07	71.6867 71.7%
2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 3	119	36.4400 36.44	25.7174 25.72	71.6867 71.7%
3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 3	118	39.0447 39.04	25.4414 25.44	71.0843 71.1%
1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 3	118	37.9040 37.90	24.8616 24.86	71.0843 71.1%
3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 3	117	37.6649 37.66	24.9114 24.91	70.4819 70.5%
2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 3	117	36.7858 36.79	25.1283 25.13	70.4819 70.5%
2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 2	117	34.1161 34.12	25.1572 25.16	70.4819 70.5%
2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 3	117	30.7831 30.78	25.3922 25.39	70.4819 70.5%
3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 2	117	29.2105 29.21	26.0000 26.00 ^†1	70.9091 70.9%
2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 2	116	34.2750 34.27	26.6085 26.61 ^†2	70.7317 70.7%
4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 3	116	34.0672 34.07	25.2663 25.27	69.8795 69.9%
2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 3	114	35.6118 35.61	25.4518 25.45	68.6747 68.7%
2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 2	113	36.0046 36.00	26.4764 26.48	68.0723 68.1%
3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 3	113	35.0158 35.02	26.4217 26.42	68.0723 68.1%
3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 3	113	30.0121 30.01	26.4406 26.44	68.0723 68.1%
1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 3	112	33.2530 33.25	25.3851 25.39	67.4699 67.5%
3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 3	112	32.4020 32.40	26.5602 26.56	67.4699 67.5%
3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 3	112	32.1344 32.13	25.8089 25.81 ^†9	71.3376 71.3%
2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 3	101	34.4765 34.48	26.0248 26.02 ^†25	71.6312 71.6%