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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

		Wins	%	Range
1	Sydney	17.2	145%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1–2
2	Hawthorn	16.6	125%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1–2
3	Geelong	15.6	125%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–4
4	Fremantle	15.1	121%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–4
5	Brisbane Lions	13.8	118%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	5–6
6	Western Bulldogs	13.7	106%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	5–7
7	Gold Coast	13.2	112%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–8
8	Adelaide	12.5	108%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	7–8
9	Collingwood	11.7	101%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	9–10
10	GWS	11.0	99%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	9–12
11	Melbourne	11.2	92%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	10–11
12	St Kilda	10.3	97%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	10–12
13	North Melbourne	10.3	93%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	13
14	Port Adelaide	9.0	94%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	14
15	Carlton	7.8	86%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	15–16
16	Essendon	6.9	81%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	15–17
17	West Coast	7.1	71%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	16–17
18	Richmond	4.2	65%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	18

After 1 game of Round 7, 2026.

							PROJECTIONS
		W	L	D	%	History	Wins	Finish
1	Sydney	6	1	–	178.1%		+11.2	1
2	Fremantle	5∗	1	–	142.7%		+10.1	4
3	Hawthorn	5∗	1	–	118.2%		+11.6	2
4	Gold Coast	4∗	2	–	126.9%		+9.2	7
5	North Melbourne	4∗	2	–	120.8%		+6.3	13
6	Geelong	4∗	2	–	116.1%		+11.6	3
7	Melbourne	4∗	2	–	94.2%		+7.2	11
8	Western Bulldogs	4	3	–	91.8%		+9.7	6
9	Brisbane Lions	3∗	3	–	111.7%		+10.8	5
10	Adelaide	3∗	3	–	105.3%		+9.5	8
11	Collingwood	3∗	3	–	94.8%		+8.7	9
12	Port Adelaide	2∗	4	–	108.1%		+7.0	14
13	St Kilda	2∗	4	–	92.6%		+8.3	12
14	GWS	2∗	4	–	86.8%		+9.0	10
15	West Coast	2∗	4	–	61.3%		+5.1	17
16	Carlton	1∗	5	–	79.2%		+6.8	15
17	Essendon	1∗	5	–	79.1%		+5.9	16
18	Richmond	–∗	6	–	53.6%		+4.2	18

∗ Yet to play

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
3 7 6 6 6 8 8 1	45	14.4194 14.42	24.8024 24.80	81.8182 81.8%
3 7 5 6 6 8 8 1	44	14.5837 14.58	26.5071 26.51	80.0000 80.0%
4 8 5 6 4 8 8 1	44	9.3353 9.34	26.0220 26.02	80.0000 80.0%
3 7 5 5 6 8 8 0	42	13.5343 13.53	26.4602 26.46	76.3636 76.4%
3 7 5 6 5 7 7 1	41	15.5149 15.51	26.2709 26.27	74.5455 74.5%
Punters 2 6 4 6 6 8 8 1	41	14.4651 14.47	25.2665 25.27	74.5455 74.5%
s10 2 8 5 5 5 8 8 0	41	14.3835 14.38	26.2182 26.22	74.5455 74.5%
2 7 5 6 5 8 8 0	41	14.2953 14.30	27.3585 27.36	74.5455 74.5%
4 7 5 5 5 7 8 0	41	14.0143 14.01	26.1920 26.19	74.5455 74.5%
Aggregate 2 7 5 6 5 8 8 0	41	12.8215 12.82	26.3476 26.35	74.5455 74.5%
2 7 5 6 5 8 7 1	41	12.6734 12.67	27.9455 27.95	74.5455 74.5%
3 8 5 6 4 6 8 1	41	11.7463 11.75	26.1831 26.18	74.5455 74.5%
3 7 5 5 6 6 7 1	40	12.8489 12.85	26.4844 26.48	72.7273 72.7%
3 7 5 6 5 6 8 0	40	12.6039 12.60	26.9500 26.95	72.7273 72.7%
2 7 4 6 6 7 8 0	40	11.9156 11.92	27.6695 27.67	72.7273 72.7%
3 5 3 7 6 7 8 1	40	8.5878 8.59	28.0182 28.02	72.7273 72.7%
2 7 5 5 5 7 8 0	39	11.9902 11.99	27.4000 27.40	70.9091 70.9%
2 8 5 6 5 6 7 0	39	11.6024 11.60	28.5091 28.51	70.9091 70.9%
4 7 5 5 4 6 8 0	39	9.7681 9.77	27.2873 27.29	70.9091 70.9%
2 6 4 5 5 7 8 1	38	13.4696 13.47	26.4835 26.48	69.0909 69.1%
2 7 5 5 5 6 8 0	38	13.2405 13.24	27.6795 27.68	69.0909 69.1%
2 7 4 5 5 6 8 0	37	12.1431 12.14	28.6909 28.69	67.2727 67.3%
1 7 4 5 5 7 7 1	37	12.1200 12.12	26.9676 26.97	67.2727 67.3%
1 7 5 5 5 6 7 1	37	11.0544 11.05	26.6540 26.65	67.2727 67.3%
2 6 5 6 4 5 8 0	36	11.2585 11.26	28.0113 28.01	65.4545 65.5%
3 7 4 6 4 5 7 0	36	11.0230 11.02	30.0364 30.04	65.4545 65.5%
2 7 4 5 5 5 8 0	36	9.8978 9.90	27.6491 27.65	65.4545 65.5%
2 7 4 5 5 5 8 0	36	8.4049 8.40	28.1400 28.14	65.4545 65.5%
3 6 4 4 4 4 7 0	32	7.9626 7.96	28.5273 28.53	58.1818 58.2%
3 5 4 5 5 8 0	30	5.4610 5.46	28.6304 28.63 ^†9	65.2174 65.2%
2 4 5 8 1	20	6.8625 6.86	31.4333 31.43 ^†25	66.6667 66.7%