Gold Coast v Geelong

Carrara

36

121

Match complete
Geelong won by 85 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
74% 26 points 58.60.57
Geelong
86% 39 points 46.00.78
Geelong
86% 38 points 47.00.78
Geelong
80% 29 points 56.00.68
Geelong
75% 34 points 51.00.58
Geelong
74% 23 points 62.10.56
Geelong
74% 22 points 63.00.56
Geelong
73% 26 points 59.00.54
Punters
Geelong
72% 0.52
Geelong
69% 20 points 65.00.46
Geelong
69% 18 points 67.00.46
Geelong
68% 25 points 60.00.44
Geelong
67% 16 points 69.00.43

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2018