Collingwood v Fremantle
2018-06-03 15:20:00
M.C.G.

21.12

138

12.5

77

Match complete
Collingwood won by 61 points

IN

Mihocek

Wells

Maynard

Howe

Varcoe

Reid

OUT

IN

Jones

Giro

Duman

Apeness

Sheridan

Kersten

Hill

Sandilands

Matera

Johnson

Ballantyne

Pearce

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		77%	28 points	✓	32.7	0.63
		86%	35 points	✓	26.1	0.78
Punters		85%		✓		0.77
		82%	36 points	✓	25.0	0.71
		81%	27 points	✓	34.0	0.69
		81%	31 points	✓	30.0	0.69
		80%	29 points	✓	32.0	0.69
		78%	27 points	✓	34.0	0.64
		76%	29 points	✓	32.0	0.60
		75%	34 points	✓	27.0	0.58
		73%	21 points	✓	40.0	0.54
		71%	31 points	✓	30.0	0.51
		61%	11 points	✓	50.0	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.