Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval
11.15
81
14.13
97
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 16 points
IN
Murphy
Seedsman
Gallucci
Poholke
OUT
IN
Taylor
Reid
Davis
Buckley
Buntine
Mohr
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -0.63 |
 |
|
80% | 27 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -1.35 |
 |
|
79% | 31 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.25 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.97 |
| Punters | |
74% | ✗ | -0.93 | ||
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.75 |
 |
|
70% | 27 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.58 |
 |
|
66% | 22 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.54 |
 |
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.53 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.21 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.