St Kilda v Melbourne
Docklands
9.13
67
16.10
106
Match complete
Melbourne won by 39 points
IN
Clark
Marshall
Armitage
Acres
Sinclair
White
OUT
IN
Petracca
Salem
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 31.5 | 0.22 |
 |
|
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.48 |
| Punters | |
68% | ✓ | 0.44 | ||
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.32 |
 |
|
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 29.7 | 0.25 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.18 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.04 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.00 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.