Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
Gabba
18.6
114
19.7
121
Match complete
Collingwood won by 7 points
IN
Eagles
Hodge
Lester
Robertson
OUT
IN
Crocker
Varcoe
Moore
Adams
Maynard
Reid
Aish
Brown
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 69% | 19 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.47 | |
81% | 34 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.70 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.58 | ||
Punters | 73% | ✓ | 0.55 | |||
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.54 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.52 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 23 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 21 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.44 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.36 | ||
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.28 | ||
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.