Essendon v Hawthorn

M.C.G.

67

90

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 23 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
62% 11 points 11.90.30
Hawthorn
75% 23 points 0.00.58
Hawthorn
67% 15 points 8.00.41
Hawthorn
66% 16 points 7.00.40
Hawthorn
65% 15 points 7.80.39
Punters
Hawthorn
64% 0.36
Hawthorn
62% 13 points 10.00.31
Hawthorn
60% 13 points 10.00.26
Hawthorn
58% 10 points 13.00.21
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 17.00.18
Hawthorn
57% 2 points 21.00.19
Hawthorn
56% 6 points 17.00.16
Hawthorn
54% 3 points 20.00.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 7, 2018