Adelaide v Fremantle
Adelaide Oval
20.23
143
6.7
43
Match complete
Adelaide won by 100 points
IN
Mackay
Jenkins
Hampton
Gallucci
OUT
IN
Tucker
Griffin
Sandilands
Langdon
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 83% | 43 points | ✓ | 56.6 | 0.74 | |
88% | 60 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.82 | ||
87% | 40 points | ✓ | 59.6 | 0.80 | ||
87% | 48 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.80 | ||
85% | 45 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.77 | ||
85% | ✓ | 0.76 | ||||
85% | 37 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.76 | ||
Punters | 82% | ✓ | 0.71 | |||
68% | 30 points | ✓ | 70.0 | 0.44 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.