Geelong v Port Adelaide

Kardinia Park

81

79

Match complete
Geelong won by 2 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
56% 3 points 1.10.16
Geelong
71% 0.51
Geelong
64% 12 points 10.00.36
Geelong
58% 11 points 9.00.21
Punters
Geelong
55% 0.15
Geelong
52% 2 points 0.00.06
Geelong
52% 2 points 0.00.06
Port Adelaide
52% 3 points 5.0-0.05
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 7.2-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.