Sydney v Hawthorn
S.C.G.
11.9
75
12.9
81
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 6 points
IN
Florent
Cunningham
OUT
IN
Willsmore
Cousins
Brand
Langford
Hartung
Heatherley
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 79% | 36 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -1.27 | |
85% | 36 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -1.74 | ||
84% | 43 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.67 | ||
84% | 42 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.64 | ||
Punters | 82% | ✗ | -1.48 | |||
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.28 | ||
78% | ✗ | -1.16 | ||||
76% | 36 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.06 | ||
66% | 27 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.56 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.