Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
2021-09-25 19:15:00
Perth Stadium

21.14

140

10.6

66

GRAND FINAL

Melbourne won by 74 points

IN

Weightman

Keath

Vandermeer

Gardner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	69.1	0.15
		64%	11 points	✓	63.0	0.35
		61%	9 points	✓	65.0	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	64.9	0.28
		58%	6 points	✓	67.8	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	68.5	0.20
Punters		57%	8 points	✓	66.5	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	68.6	0.19
s10		57%	5 points	✓	68.5	0.18
		57%	5 points	✓	69.0	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	68.0	0.16
		53%	5 points	✓	69.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	71.5	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	71.0	0.07
		53%	3 points	✓	71.5	0.07
		51%	1 point	✓	72.9	0.04
		51%	2 points	✓	72.0	0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	75.7	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.