Geelong v Greater Western Sydney
2021-09-03 19:50:00
Perth Stadium

15.13

103

10.8

68

SEMI-FINAL

Geelong won by 35 points

IN

Holmes

Ratugolea

Tuohy

O'Connor

Dahlhaus

Simpson

OUT

IN

Stone

Bruhn

Hill

Davis

Greene

Green

Hogan

Reid

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	21.9	0.35
		74%	21 points	✓	13.7	0.56
Punters		72%	19 points	✓	16.1	0.53
		70%	16 points	✓	19.5	0.48
		68%	21 points	✓	14.0	0.44
		68%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	20.6	0.44
		66%	15 points	✓	19.7	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	19.9	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	20.3	0.40
s10		65%	14 points	✓	21.2	0.39
		63%	14 points	✓	21.5	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	23.2	0.33
		60%	13 points	✓	22.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	27.0	0.26
		56%	6 points	✓	29.0	0.16
		52%	2 points	✓	33.3	0.06
		50%	0 points	✓	35.0	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.