West Coast v Geelong
Optus Stadium
14.11
95
11.14
80
Match complete
West Coast won by 15 points
IN
Hutchings
Duggan
OUT
IN
Ratugolea
Selwood
Stanley
O'Connor
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.13 | |
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.31 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.17 | ||
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.16 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.11 | ||
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.02 | ||
Punters | 52% | ✗ | -0.07 | |||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.