Richmond v Hawthorn
2018-04-08 13:10:00
M.C.G.

15.12

102

13.11

89

Match complete
Richmond won by 13 points

IN

Higgins

Lloyd

Vlastuin

Caddy

Ellis

Bolton

OUT

IN

Morrison

Frawley

Langford

Burgoyne

Sicily

Schoenmakers

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		63%	14 points	✓	0.9	0.33
		80%	27 points	✓	14.0	0.67
		66%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.40
		65%	19 points	✓	6.0	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	0.0	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	0.9	0.35
		63%	17 points	✓	4.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	0.0	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	2.0	0.31
		60%	17 points	✓	4.0	0.27
		58%	7 points	✓	6.0	0.21
Punters		57%		✓		0.18
		52%	1 point	✓	12.0	0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.