Sydney v Hawthorn
S.C.G.
11.10
76
14.12
96
Hawthorn won by 20 points
IN
Warner
Sheldrick
Paton
Wicks
Adams
Gulden
Parker
McDonald
Fox
Cunningham
OUT
IN
Mackenzie
Battle
Macdonald
Barrass
Day
Breust
Gunston
Ward
Dear
Serong
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.11 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.53 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.46 |
|
|
68% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.44 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.3 | 0.05 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.9 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.6 | -0.27 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.32 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 23 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.65 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.