Sydney v Port Adelaide
2024-09-20 19:40:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

14.11

95

8.11

59

PRELIMINARY FINAL

Sydney won by 36 points

IN

Fox

McInerney

Mills

McLean

OUT

IN

Evans

Dixon

Burton

Marshall

Narkle

Lorenz

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	14 points	✓	22.5	0.34
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	24.8	0.31
		76%	29 points	✓	7.0	0.60
		75%	20 points	✓	16.1	0.59
		74%	22 points	✓	14.1	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	13.9	0.55
Punters		72%	19 points	✓	17.2	0.52
		70%	19 points	✓	17.4	0.49
		69%	21 points	✓	15.4	0.47
		68%	16 points	✓	20.4	0.45
		66%	12 points	✓	24.5	0.39
		64%	15 points	✓	21.0	0.36
		63%	9 points	✓	27.2	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	22.9	0.33
		62%	16 points	✓	20.0	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	25.0	0.31
		61%	14 points	✓	22.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	26.4	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	27.3	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	27.5	0.26
		58%	5 points	✓	31.0	0.22
		57%	2 points	✓	34.3	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	27.0	0.19
		55%	3 points	✓	33.1	0.13
		52%	1 point	✓	35.0	0.05
		50%	1 point	✓	35.4	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	37.3	-0.02
		61%	10 points	✗	46.0	-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.