Collingwood v Essendon
M.C.G.

10.16
76

10.5
65
Match complete
Collingwood won by 11 points
IN
Moore
Sidebottom
OUT
IN
Jok
Hartley
Clarke
Begley
Laverde
Bellchambers
Heppell
Stringer
Zaharakis
Fantasia
Clarke
Zerk-Thatcher
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | ![]() |
69% | 19 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.46 |
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85% | 52 points | ✓ | 41.3 | 0.77 |
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84% | 32 points | ✓ | 20.7 | 0.74 |
Punters | ![]() |
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.71 |
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75% | 26 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.59 |
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75% | 22 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.58 |
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74% | 20 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.57 |
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73% | 23 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.54 |
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68% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.44 |
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66% | 15 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.40 |
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63% | 13 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.33 |
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61% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.29 |
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61% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.3 | 0.29 |
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61% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.29 |
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60% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.27 |
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59% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.24 |
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56% | 9 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.