Sydney v Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G.
4.6
30
10.19
79
ELIMINATION FINAL
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 49 points
IN
Parker
Franklin
Fox
Dawson
OUT
IN
Deledio
de Boer
Williams
Greene
Lloyd
Finlayson
Keeffe
Bonar
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 53% | 3 points | ✓ | 46.5 | 0.07 | |
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 29.3 | 0.50 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.32 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 42.1 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.18 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.14 | ||
Punters | 52% | ✓ | 0.05 | |||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.03 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.09 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 54.1 | -0.18 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.19 | ||
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.