Richmond v Hawthorn

M.C.G.

95

64

Match complete
Richmond won by 31 points

IN
Lambert
Ellis
OUT
IN
Ceglar
Frawley
Howe
Sicily
Brand
Schoenmakers
Miles
Mirra
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
64% 13 points 17.60.37
Live Ladders
Richmond
75% 24 points 7.00.59
Massey Ratings
Richmond
74% 19 points 12.00.56
Matter of Stats
Richmond
71% 18 points 13.30.51
Punters
Richmond
68% 0.44
Squiggle
Richmond
68% 17 points 14.20.43
Swinburne
Richmond
67% 15 points 16.00.42
Footy Maths Institute
Richmond
64% 18 points 13.00.36
The Arc
Richmond
63% 12 points 19.50.34
Graft
Richmond
60% 9 points 22.00.26
PlusSixOne
Richmond
59% 10 points 21.00.24
Stattraction
Richmond
55% 5 points 26.00.13
HPN
Richmond
50% 1 point 30.00.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 24, 2018