Richmond v Hawthorn
2018-09-06 19:20:00
M.C.G.

13.17

95

9.10

64

QUALIFYING FINAL

Match complete
Richmond won by 31 points

IN

Lambert

Ellis

OUT

IN

Ceglar

Frawley

Howe

Sicily

Brand

Schoenmakers

Miles

Mirra

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	17.6	0.37
		75%	24 points	✓	7.0	0.59
		74%	19 points	✓	12.0	0.56
		71%	18 points	✓	13.3	0.51
Punters		68%		✓		0.44
		68%	17 points	✓	14.2	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	16.0	0.42
		64%	18 points	✓	13.0	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	19.5	0.34
		60%	9 points	✓	22.0	0.26
		59%	10 points	✓	21.0	0.24
		55%	5 points	✓	26.0	0.13
		50%	1 point	✓	30.0	0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.