Melbourne v Adelaide

Marrara Oval
10.10
70
17.14
116

Match complete
Adelaide won by 46 points

IN
Kennedy Harris
Stretch
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Lynch
Thompson
Milera
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
64% 15 points 30.70.35
Punters
Adelaide
71% 0.51
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
70% 27 points 19.00.49
The Arc
Adelaide
66% 14 points 32.00.40
Graft
Adelaide
66% 17 points 29.00.40
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
65% 15 points 31.10.37
Squiggle
Adelaide
59% 8 points 38.00.24
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
57% 11 points 35.00.18
Figuring Footy
Adelaide
56% 0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 17, 2017