Melbourne v Adelaide
Marrara Oval
10.10
70
17.14
116
Match complete
Adelaide won by 46 points
IN
Kennedy Harris
Stretch
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Lynch
Thompson
Milera
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 64% | 15 points | ✓ | 30.7 | 0.35 | |
Punters | 71% | ✓ | 0.51 | |||
70% | 27 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.49 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.40 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 31.1 | 0.37 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.24 | ||
57% | 11 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | ✓ | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.