Geelong v Hawthorn
2017-07-15 13:45:00
M.C.G.

13.10

88

12.13

85

Match complete
Geelong won by 3 points

IN

Simpson

Menzel

Mackie

Buzza

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		68%	21 points	✓	17.5	0.45
		77%	30 points	✓	27.0	0.62
		72%		✓		0.52
Punters		69%		✓		0.46
		68%	20 points	✓	17.0	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	13.3	0.45
		66%	27 points	✓	24.0	0.41
		66%	21 points	✓	18.0	0.40
		61%	9 points	✓	6.0	0.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.