Melbourne v Collingwood

M.C.G.

104

100

Match complete
Melbourne won by 4 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
52% 1 point 3.50.04
Punters
Melbourne
60% 0.26
Melbourne
58% 0.21
Melbourne
56% 9 points 5.00.16
Melbourne
53% 3 points 1.00.08
Melbourne
51% 1 point 3.00.02
Collingwood
51% 1 point 5.0-0.03
Collingwood
54% 5 points 9.0-0.12
Collingwood
60% 10 points 14.3-0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2017