Hawthorn v Gold Coast
M.C.G.
12.7
79
13.17
95
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 16 points
IN
Stewart
O'Brien
Hartung
Langford
Hodge
Breust
Vickery
Willsmore
OUT
IN
Willis
Ainsworth
Lonergan
Miller
Harbrow
Brodie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
63% | 16 points | ✗ | 32.4 | -0.43 |
 |
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.80 |
 |
|
71% | 27 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.79 |
 |
|
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.69 |
 |
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.58 |
 |
|
64% | ✗ | -0.49 | ||
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.31 |
 |
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.09 |
| Punters | |
52% | ✓ | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.