Hawthorn v Gold Coast

M.C.G.

79

95

Match complete
Gold Coast won by 16 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
63% 16 points 32.4-0.43
Hawthorn
71% 27 points 43.0-0.79
Hawthorn
71% 20 points 36.0-0.80
Hawthorn
69% 20 points 36.0-0.69
Hawthorn
67% 18 points 34.0-0.58
Hawthorn
64% -0.49
Hawthorn
60% 8 points 24.3-0.31
Hawthorn
53% 5 points 21.0-0.09
Punters
Gold Coast
52% 0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2017