St Kilda v Hawthorn
2018-08-18 19:25:00
Docklands

11.10

76

12.8

80

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 4 points

IN

Goddard

Austin

Gilbert

Carlisle

Brown

Freeman

OUT

IN

Glass

McEvoy

Henderson

Ceglar

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		73%	23 points	✓	18.6	0.55
		87%	35 points	✓	31.0	0.80
Punters		82%		✓		0.71
		82%	30 points	✓	26.0	0.71
		75%	24 points	✓	20.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	19.0	0.56
		73%	26 points	✓	22.0	0.55
		72%	23 points	✓	18.9	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.51
		70%	27 points	✓	23.0	0.49
		66%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.39
		64%	13 points	✓	9.2	0.35
		62%	11 points	✓	7.0	0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.