Adelaide v North Melbourne
2018-08-19 16:40:00
Adelaide Oval

12.14

86

11.11

77

Match complete
Adelaide won by 9 points

IN

Knight

Otten

McGovern

Kelly

Seedsman

Walker

Smith

Ellis-Yolmen

Keath

Murphy

OUT

IN

Hrovat

Ahern

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	4.8	0.38
		73%	19 points	✓	10.0	0.55
		72%	21 points	✓	12.0	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	10.8	0.51
Punters		70%		✓		0.48
		66%	14 points	✓	5.0	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	5.7	0.39
		64%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.35
		63%	17 points	✓	8.0	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	2.0	0.32
		61%	8 points	✓	1.0	0.30
		61%	12 points	✓	3.0	0.30
		52%	2 points	✓	7.0	0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.