Essendon v Hawthorn

M.C.G.

116

91

Match complete
Essendon won by 25 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
79% 41 points 65.5-1.28
Hawthorn
88% 60 points 85.0-2.06
Hawthorn
86% 46 points 71.0-1.83
Hawthorn
84% 35 points 60.0-1.60
Hawthorn
84% -1.64
Hawthorn
82% 51 points 76.0-1.47
Hawthorn
78% 25 points 50.0-1.18
Punters
Hawthorn
69% -0.67
Hawthorn
66% 26 points 51.0-0.56

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.