Carlton v Richmond
M.C.G.
14.5
89
20.12
132
Match complete
Richmond won by 43 points
IN
Pickett
Petrevski-Seton
Macreadie
Smedts
Marchbank
Curnow
Murphy
Curnow
Tuohy
Buckley
Phillips
Kerridge
Graham
Jones
Sumner
Cuningham
OUT
IN
Butler
Castagna
Conca
Nankervis
Griffiths
McIntosh
Prestia
Caddy
Lambert
Hampson
Short
Moore
Markov
Elton
Moore
Chol
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 40.4 | 0.13 |
| Punters | |
68% | ✓ | 0.45 | ||
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
58% | ✓ | 0.21 | ||
 |
|
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.