Melbourne v Adelaide

Traeger Park

146

55

Match complete
Melbourne won by 91 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
53% 2 points 89.20.08
Melbourne
77% 27 points 64.00.63
Melbourne
62% 10 points 80.60.31
Melbourne
59% 10 points 81.00.24
Punters
Melbourne
58% 0.22
Melbourne
55% 4 points 87.00.15
Melbourne
52% 3 points 88.00.06
Adelaide
50% 0 points 91.00.00
Adelaide
51% 1 point 92.0-0.03
Adelaide
52% 2 points 93.0-0.06
Adelaide
53% 3 points 94.0-0.07
Adelaide
63% 11 points 102.0-0.41
Adelaide
64% 18 points 109.0-0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2018