Geelong v Carlton

GMHBA Stadium
11.7
73
5.15
45

Match complete
Geelong won by 28 points

IN
Jones
Black
Ratugolea
Parfitt
Stanley
Smith
Taylor
Parsons
Horlin-Smith
Thurlow
OUT
IN
Cuningham
Weitering
Curnow
Curnow
Murphy
Mullett
Graham
Garlett
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
85% 41 points 13.10.77
Massey Ratings
Geelong
96% 55 points 27.00.94
Live Ladders
Geelong
91% 46 points 18.00.87
Swinburne
Geelong
91% 54 points 26.00.86
Punters
Geelong
90% 0.85
Squiggle
Geelong
87% 48 points 20.00.80
The Arc
Geelong
87% 40 points 12.00.79
Graft
Geelong
85% 36 points 8.00.77
Matter of Stats
Geelong
82% 30 points 2.00.71
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
80% 42 points 14.00.68
HPN
Geelong
80% 30 points 2.00.68
PlusSixOne
Geelong
79% 44 points 16.00.65
Stattraction
Geelong
73% 27 points 1.00.54

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2018