Western Bulldogs v Carlton
Docklands
11.14
80
8.11
59
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 21 points
IN
Williams
Crozier
Hunter
Dickson
Honeychurch
Webb
OUT
IN
Marchbank
Kennedy
Lamb
Garlett
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.43 | |
80% | 27 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.68 | ||
78% | 26 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.64 | ||
73% | 24 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.55 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.44 | ||
Punters | 67% | ✓ | 0.42 | |||
65% | 17 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.37 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 17 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.33 | ||
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.