Collingwood v Richmond
M.C.G.
10.10
70
16.17
113
Match complete
Richmond won by 43 points
IN
Appleby
Mayne
Blair
Varcoe
Langdon
Crocker
OUT
IN
Graham
Vlastuin
Caddy
Ellis
Lloyd
Townsend
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 63% | 13 points | ✓ | 30.4 | 0.32 | |
71% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.51 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.44 | ||
Punters | 65% | ✓ | 0.39 | |||
65% | 19 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.36 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.32 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.30 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.24 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.10 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 43.0 | 0.00 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.