Collingwood v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
13.12
90
11.6
72
Match complete
Collingwood won by 18 points
IN
Treloar
Reid
OUT
IN
Heatherley
Whitecross
Sicily
Duryea
Vickery
Rioli
Frawley
Stratton
O'Brien
Fitzpatrick
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
58% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.22 |
 |
|
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.54 |
| Punters | |
64% | ✓ | 0.35 | ||
 |
|
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.30 |
 |
|
55% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
56% | ✗ | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.