Geelong v Western Bulldogs
GMHBA Stadium
16.8
104
12.9
81
Match complete
Geelong won by 23 points
IN
Selwood
Murdoch
Henderson
Guthrie
Stanley
Horlin-Smith
OUT
IN
Cloke
Murphy
Morris
Dickson
Wallis
Liberatore
Boyd
McLean
Roberts
Cordy
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 6 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.11 | |
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.29 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.15 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | ✓ | 0.05 | ||||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.01 | ||
Punters | 52% | ✗ | -0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.