Greater Western Sydney v Essendon

Sydney Showground
8.12
60
14.11
95

Match complete
Essendon won by 35 points

IN
Buntine
Buckley
Patton
Kelly
Reid
Finlayson
Keeffe
Cumming
OUT
IN
McGrath
Clarke
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
67% 17 points 52.1-0.59
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
79% 25 points 60.0-1.24
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
75% 24 points 59.0-1.02
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
72% 30 points 65.0-0.84
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
72% 20 points 55.0-0.81
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
70% 22 points 57.0-0.74
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
69% -0.68
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
68% 18 points 53.0-0.64
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
67% 16 points 51.0-0.62
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
62% 17 points 52.0-0.40
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
62% 11 points 46.0-0.40
Stattraction
Greater Western Sydney
55% 6 points 41.0-0.16
HPN
Essendon
50% 1 point 34.00.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2018