Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
21.10
136
10.15
75
PRELIMINARY FINAL
Match complete
Adelaide won by 61 points
IN
Otten
Sloane
Smith
McGovern
OUT
IN
Cockatoo
Lonergan
Parsons
Guthrie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
69% | 22 points | ✓ | 39.3 | 0.47 |
 |
|
81% | 30 points | ✓ | 30.9 | 0.69 |
 |
|
71% | 28 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.51 |
 |
|
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.49 |
 |
|
70% | ✓ | 0.48 | ||
 |
|
69% | 21 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.47 |
 |
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.41 |
| Punters | |
66% | ✓ | 0.41 | ||
 |
|
60% | 16 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.