Hawthorn v Melbourne
M.C.G.
10.11
71
16.8
104
SEMI-FINAL
Match complete
Melbourne won by 33 points
IN
Mirra
Schoenmakers
Duryea
O'Meara
Stratton
Ceglar
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 20.5 | 0.34 |
 |
|
71% | 21 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.50 |
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.48 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.45 |
| Punters | |
68% | ✓ | 0.44 | ||
 |
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.38 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.35 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 22.4 | 0.31 |
 |
|
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.20 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.