Hawthorn v Melbourne

M.C.G.

71

104

Match complete
Melbourne won by 33 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
63% 12 points 20.50.34
Melbourne
71% 21 points 12.50.50
Melbourne
70% 19 points 14.10.48
Melbourne
68% 17 points 16.00.45
Punters
Melbourne
68% 0.44
Melbourne
65% 14 points 19.00.38
Melbourne
64% 13 points 20.00.35
Melbourne
64% 12 points 21.00.36
Melbourne
62% 11 points 22.40.31
Melbourne
60% 13 points 20.00.26
Melbourne
59% 8 points 25.00.23
Melbourne
58% 8 points 25.00.20
Melbourne
52% 2 points 31.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 25, 2018