Hawthorn v Melbourne

M.C.G.

71

104

Match complete
Melbourne won by 33 points

IN
Mirra
Schoenmakers
Duryea
O'Meara
Stratton
Ceglar
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
63% 12 points 20.50.34
Squiggle
Melbourne
71% 21 points 12.50.50
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
70% 19 points 14.10.48
Live Ladders
Melbourne
68% 17 points 16.00.45
Punters
Melbourne
68% 0.44
HPN
Melbourne
65% 14 points 19.00.38
Swinburne
Melbourne
64% 12 points 21.00.36
Graft
Melbourne
64% 13 points 20.00.35
The Arc
Melbourne
62% 11 points 22.40.31
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
60% 13 points 20.00.26
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
59% 8 points 25.00.23
Stattraction
Melbourne
58% 8 points 25.00.20
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
52% 2 points 31.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 25, 2018