Essendon v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
11.16
82
13.12
90
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 8 points
IN
Hooker
Parish
McKernan
Howlett
OUT
IN
Walker
Beams
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
85% | 47 points | ✗ | 54.6 | -1.78 |
 |
|
92% | 55 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -2.64 |
 |
|
89% | 51 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -2.13 |
| Punters | |
88% | ✗ | -2.06 | ||
 |
|
87% | 44 points | ✗ | 51.8 | -1.94 |
 |
|
87% | 40 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.90 |
 |
|
84% | ✗ | -1.63 | ||
 |
|
83% | 47 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -1.56 |
 |
|
75% | 43 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.98 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.