Essendon v Geelong
M.C.G.
17.8
110
13.15
93
Match complete
Essendon won by 17 points
IN
Stewart
McGrath
Watson
Gleeson
Stanton
Francis
OUT
IN
O'Connor
Stewart
Kolodjashnij
Smith
Murdoch
Lang
Thurlow
Black
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 35 points | ✗ | 52.5 | -1.16 | |
84% | 50 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -1.64 | ||
84% | 42 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -1.61 | ||
82% | ✗ | -1.50 | ||||
79% | 35 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -1.25 | ||
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -1.15 | ||
73% | 40 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.90 | ||
Punters | 72% | ✗ | -0.82 | |||
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 36.8 | -0.69 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.