Essendon v Geelong

M.C.G.
17.8
110
13.15
93

Match complete
Essendon won by 17 points

IN
Stewart
McGrath
Watson
Gleeson
Stanton
Francis
OUT
IN
O'Connor
Stewart
Kolodjashnij
Smith
Murdoch
Lang
Thurlow
Black
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
78% 35 points 52.5-1.16
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
84% 50 points 67.0-1.64
Graft
Geelong
84% 42 points 59.0-1.61
Figuring Footy
Geelong
82% -1.50
Squiggle
Geelong
79% 35 points 52.0-1.25
The Arc
Geelong
77% 26 points 43.0-1.15
PlusSixOne
Geelong
73% 40 points 57.0-0.90
Punters
Geelong
72% -0.82
Matter of Stats
Geelong
69% 20 points 36.8-0.69

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 8, 2017