Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
Docklands
12.10
82
9.8
62
Essendon won by 20 points
IN
Guelfi
Hind
Duursma
Davey Jnr
OUT
IN
Stone
Riccardi
Haynes
Coniglio
Brown
Peatling
Wehr
Cadman
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.7 | -0.33 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.40 |
|
|
78% | 28 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
78% | 19 points | ✗ | 39.3 | -1.15 |
|
|
75% | 19 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.97 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.91 |
|
|
70% | 27 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.58 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.49 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.6 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.6 | -0.32 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.22 |
|
|
51% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.8 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.