Carlton v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
9.8
62
12.10
82
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 20 points
IN
Byrne
Buckley
Silvagni
Sumner
Graham
Boekhorst
Cripps
Thomas
White
Cuningham
Macreadie
Sheehan
OUT
IN
Young
Williams
Murphy
Biggs
Boyd
Wood
Roberts
Smith
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 63% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.33 | |
70% | ✓ | 0.48 | ||||
68% | 24 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.40 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.36 | ||
Punters | 60% | ✓ | 0.26 | |||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.23 | ||
56% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.