Gold Coast v Carlton
Carrara
11.7
73
12.11
83
Match complete
Carlton won by 10 points
IN
Petrevski-Seton
Boekhorst
Sumner
Silvagni
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 16 points | ✗ | 25.8 | -0.59 | |
75% | ✗ | -0.98 | ||||
Punters | 71% | ✗ | -0.78 | |||
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.73 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.64 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.56 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.51 | ||
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.43 | ||
57% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.