North Melbourne v Adelaide
Bellerive Oval
22.13
145
13.8
86
Match complete
North Melbourne won by 59 points
IN
Wagner
Clarke
Waite
Mullett
Garner
Simpkin
OUT
IN
Knight
Milera
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 77% | 31 points | ✗ | 90.4 | -1.10 | |
87% | 44 points | ✗ | 103.3 | -1.97 | ||
Punters | 83% | ✗ | -1.52 | |||
80% | ✗ | -1.30 | ||||
76% | 36 points | ✗ | 95.0 | -1.06 | ||
74% | 28 points | ✗ | 87.0 | -0.97 | ||
72% | 26 points | ✗ | 85.0 | -0.84 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -0.81 | ||
70% | 34 points | ✗ | 93.0 | -0.75 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.